Population to start shrinking in 2006: report

reon

12-17-2005, 11:35 AM

Excerpt from Japan Times (http://www.japantimes.com):

“Japan’s population will start shrinking next year and not in 2007 as was earlier projected and could be half of what it is now in a century, if the birthrate continues to decline at the current pace, according to a government report released Friday. If the current fall continues and things remain constant, the size of the population is projected to drop to 64.0 million in 2100 from a high of 127.7 million in 2006, the 2005 annual paper on the declining birthrate says.”

Maybe the Philippines, because of its exploding population, and Japan is a perfect fit. Now, the visa, that’s the problem. :slight_smile:

Read the rest of the article here (http://www.japantimes.com/cgi-bin/getarticle.pl5?nn200 51217a2.htm).

Raiden

12-17-2005, 12:30 PM

Hi Reon,

Eh kung i-annex ng Japan ang Pilipinas, in a peaceful way of course, papayag kaya ang mga Pilipino? :scratch:

Eh kung magdagsaan ang mga dayuhan na galing sa iba’t-ibang lupalop ng mundo papuntang Japan, papayag kaya ang isolationist Japanese? :scratch:

Mukhang malaki ang problema ng Japan sa hinaharap ha. :frowning:

striver

12-17-2005, 03:26 PM

halos monthly nagiging issue or news iyan sa tv. what would be the affect of that would be a problem not only by japanese but all people living here in japan. kasama na po tayo. one result of that will be the increase of taxes we are paying. at magstart na ata next year of january. kaya ang mahilig uminom at manigarilyo, isip isp na po. medyo bawasan nyo na. in the near future, baka daw malaki ang bayarang tax ng mga single. so meaning, hanggat wala kang anak. you will pay much taxes. i think they are already studying that option because other country is employing this system. norway ata or finland im not sure. sa tingin nyo payag ba kayo?

betong

12-17-2005, 04:01 PM

Well, the Japanese government is not doing anything to make having a child easier for the mother and for the working father. And, it sure is easier to take care of an expensive Louis Vuitton bag or a 2000$ chihuahua than a pooing, crying, peeing kid.
Wait, chihuahua’s do that too. Not bags, though.

ugnayan

12-17-2005, 08:38 PM

Here are quotes of the article I wrote for a book about Japan (Scattered: The Filipino Global Presence, 2004):

"Japan’s rapidly declining population will require significant increases in immigration, if only to help look after the aged.

One estimate I saw in an article in Japan Spotlight (January/February 2004) suggests that the average annual immigration in recent years of some 50,000 would need to go up more than 10-fold to 640,000 a year to offset the rapid decline in the productive age population. It would require a revolution in Japanese attitudes to accept such an increase, and it could not be achieved without serious social strains.

Japan could cope with a smaller population as it did in the past. More labor-saving devices can be used and people can go on working in perhaps less demanding jobs until they are literally unable to work any longer. Even so the Japanese net reproduction rate of 1.32 has very serious implications for Japanese society in this century, and much more attention needs to be given to expanding immigration in addition to the emphasis on inward investment." (Hugh Cortazzi, a former British career diplomat, served as ambassador to Japan from 1980 to 1984.)

Lim Hua Sing, professor of Economics at Waseda University, affirms in her article, Utilizing foreign talents to achieve economic growth": The UN Population Division warned at the end of 2000 that Japan needs to accept 610,000 immigrants annually in order to maintain the current level of employable population under the period of the extreme low birthrate. Japan appears to be still under the influence of the Closed-Door Policy, which took place in 300 years of the Edo period. Japan is still a homogenous society and closed toward foreigners whose cultural backgrounds are of variety and heterogynous…It would take a long time for Japan as a whole to psychologically be ready to accept massive immigrants." (2003)

reon

12-17-2005, 08:53 PM

Thanks for the comments. Japan seems to think there’s no problem at all. At tayong mga Pinoy na nasa Japan ay maaapektohan din, sabi nga ni Striver. :slight_smile:

gabby

12-18-2005, 12:12 AM

Excerpt from Japan Times (http://www.japantimes.com):

“Japan’s population will start shrinking next year and not in 2007 as was earlier projected and could be half of what it is now in a century, if the birthrate continues to decline at the current pace, according to a government report released Friday. If the current fall continues and things remain constant, the size of the population is projected to drop to 64.0 million in 2100 from a high of 127.7 million in 2006, the 2005 annual paper on the declining birthrate says.”

Maybe the Philippines, because of its exploding population, and Japan is a perfect fit. Now, the visa, that’s the problem. :slight_smile:

Read the rest of the article here (http://www.japantimes.com/cgi-bin/getarticle.pl5?nn200 51217a2.htm).

It will be a good news if the Philippine population would shrink. Japan is a homogenous society. I don’t see what good it gives to the Philippines.

puting tainga

12-18-2005, 12:05 PM

If the current decline of birth rate continues, the Japanese will be extinct in early 30th century, according to a calculation.
Of course this will never happen. (If it happens, I don’t care very much, though.)

Because some people still keep making babies, and the country will be filled with Japanese whose parents chose to make babies despite declining birth rate.
Also not a few percent of Japanese marry foreign people and make babies.

I guess now is the time when the “make-babies DNA” is getting stronger by eliminating people who prefer contraception and abortion to making babies.

This is an archived page from the former Timog Forum website.